Australian Basic Income Stories: The First Chapter of a Basic Income Pilot in Australia

On Friday 6 December 2024 the Australian Basic Income Lab hosted its third annual workshop program with the theme Designing a Basic Income Pilot for Australia – Ethics, Implementation & Evaluation Challenges.

Workshop discussion overview: 

Pilots, trials, and experiments have played a central role in establishing an evidence base for the potential benefits of basic income and similar concepts. While proponents of basic income often highlight the positive outcomes of these trials, critics question their effectiveness. The relationship between basic income and policy experimentation has been viewed as crucial for building public and political support for the reform, though some argue that it has been a distraction that has failed to deliver policy implementation.

In Australia, the debate around basic income pilots is still in its early stages compared to international efforts. Aside from a small-scale trial in the 1970s, there has never been a comprehensive basic income pilot, and very few detailed proposals have gained significant traction. The Third Annual Australian Basic Income Fellows Workshop seeks to move the conversation forward by focusing on the ethical, practical, and evaluation challenges involved in designing a basic income pilot for Australia.

I prepared a short presentation discussing:

  1. The lack of Australian basic income trial stories
  2. Typical design considerations for basic income pilots
  3. Three high-level options for policy design options for Australia.

I then invited workshop participants to vote on their preferred basic income trial approach via an online poll.

Australian basic income stories are missing
Basic Income Australia’s education material regarding the amazing qualitative results from global basic income trials lacked specific Australian examples.

Australian basic income trials would be politically expedient

Typical design considerations
Basic income trial designers must make careful decisions regarding the adequacy/level of the payment amount, the sample size for evaluation robustness and whether the trial will target certain populations or take a universal approach. The level of available funding for trials will have strong implications on design configurations. Effectively all trials will feature the universal limitation of failing to study the long-run behavioural effects of providing ongoing income security because trials are by nature short-term. Typical global basic income trials are 2-3 years in duration with GiveDirectly leading the world’s longest basic income trial at 12 years.

Proposal 1 of 3: Universal randomised control trial approaches
This approach intends to mimic universality through two options:

1a – A saturation site approach where one entire small town is provided with a basic income and a comparable counterfactual town does not receive a basic income.
2a – A randomised control trial with stratified population samples within a single geolocation.

Proposal 2 of 3: Targeted basic income trials
In this section I briefly describe global examples of targeted basic income trials.

Proposal 3 of 3: Direct giving through tech
Following from my previous year’s workshop presentation “Circumnavigating politics with distributed technology approaches to Basic Income“, this year I learned of an Australian money-sharing web app called Flourish.Buzz that intends to do just that. 

60% of 28 workshop survey respondents prefer universal approaches to conducting basic income trials
39% preferred the saturation site approach followed by 21% who preferred the mid-city randomised control trial.

The overall intent of my presentation was to reiterate that we lack Australian basic income stories which hamper various pro-UBI actors’ ability to advocate for a UBI in Australia. Despite the valid criticisms that the 130+ basic income trials around the world have failed to lead to an ideal policy implementation (universal, unconditional, individualised and regular payments), I argue that pilots and experimentation are necessary to advance the UBI agenda in Australia.

Please find the link to the full presentation slides here.

USAID signals major strategy shift: championing direct unconditional cash transfers

In October 2024 the United States Agency for International Development (USAID) released its position paper in support of direct monetary transfers for development outcomes. This is a topic very close to my heart as I started my career in traditional international development in the pursuit of ending extreme poverty, and then learned during this time that direct and unconditional cash transfers would be the most effective way to achieve this goal. 

USAID’s support of direct monetary transfers is significant as it is the largest provider of official development assistance at an estimated US$66B in 2023 and has the potential to influence a greater number of actors in the sector to adopt this approach. 

Below are key excerpts from USAID’s position paper.

Vision and guiding principles

“Direct monetary transfers are a cost-effective, evidence-based, and dynamic localization tool that can help USAID better achieve its development goals. USAID should aim to be a leader in the use of direct monetary transfers to individuals, households, and microenterprises for development outcomes, when contextually appropriate.”

USAID should include direct monetary transfers to individuals, households, and microenterprises as a core element of its development toolkit, expanding the use of transfers when both contextually appropriate and cost-effective for priority outcomes.”

Evidence-base

“Evidence shows that transfers drive sustained impact, with many studies measuring impact one to four years after transfers end. The positive impact cuts across many USAID development objectives, from food security to resilience to household income, health, and more.”

“In short, [mobile money and digital payments] transfers enable rapid and cost-effective delivery of development activities. They work within and strengthen existing markets to help achieve USAID’s development objectives and create positive outcomes beyond those who directly receive transfers.

“…transfers generally reduced spending on “temptation goods” and increased labor force participation. Qualitative and quantitative studies suggest that this is because direct monetary transfers provide needed money either to invest or improve households’ ability to meet short-term needs. This frees up mental and the financial space for individuals to think longer-term and start or expand income-generating activities –  transfers help people to help themselves.

USAID speaks further on the incredible findings from direct monetary transfer interventions in this six-minute video overview.

Turning the big ship around: downgrading direct transfer risk concerns within USAID
The position paper states that despite 15 years of external empirical evidence on the benefits of unconditional cash transfers, it was “not always clear where to find and how to apply the large body of evidence produced outside of USAID to the design of USAID activities”. This challenge was ostensibly due to the organisation’s need to “manage programmatic risk”. It’s not an unreasonable jump to divine that “risk” related to USAID relinquishing control through unconditionality and trusting recipients to spend transfers in their own best interests.

“In cases where in-house experience is limited, people may overestimate the downsides and underestimate the upsides of transfers for USAID’s development objectives.” 

This decades-long conservative risk management approach appears to have stifled innovation at USAID despite some sporadic attempts to evolve the use of direct cash transfers from an emergency humanitarian response to a strategy to achieve development objectives. However, after launching a series of internal direct monetary impact evaluations in 2015, the data has ultimately convinced USAID that direct transfers must form the cornerstone of their programmatic design and they have updated their position and guidance accordingly. 

First-order question for program design: What does the proposed development intervention do that cash can’t do better?
I’m pleased that the position paper stresses that “transfers—alone, or combined with “plus” elements—should become a familiar approach for activity design teams across many sectors”. USAID now officially recognises something that unconditional cash advocates have long known: unconditional cash provides the dignity and freedom for people to make spending choices to address their unique individual needs, which in turn results in remarkable direct, indirect and sustained development outcomes. 

By starting with a cash-first framework, practitioners can begin designing the next generation of nuanced interventions. Targeted “plus” interventions such as behaviour-change or traditional development activities can be combined with the direct transfer to expand the initiative’s impact beyond transfer or “plus” interventions alone. 

An institution’s step towards unconditionality
As someone who became a Universal Basic Income advocate through working in and becoming critical of international development, USAID’s latest position paper supporting direct monetary transfers is particularly gratifying. 

I agree wholeheartedly when USAID’s Deputy Administrator Isobel Coleman stated, “we have a moral imperative to use every dollar entrusted to us as wisely and impactfully as possible”. I personally arrived at the conclusion that unconditional cash transfers was the strategy to achieve this outcome 10 years earlier when I came across GiveDirectly’s trailblazing work. I have Joy Sun’s incredible 7-minute TED Talk on GiveDirectly’s cash interventions to thank for my own penny-drop moment back when I was a young development worker in Cambodia.  

Change oftentimes doesn’t come as fast as advocates would like. In recognising that USAID is a large and complex government institution that was first established in 1961, it is remarkable that in the 10 years since it started in-house direct cash research it is now emphatic that such transfers are to form the centrepiece of its development strategy.